Value: Fusion-drive interplanetary. Epstein drive, railguns, torpedoes. No FTL, no artificial gravity.
Confidence: InformedGuess
References:
Value: 1
Confidence: Canon
References:
Sol only. Humanity has no FTL capability at this snapshot. The Epstein drive maxes out at ~5% of light speed exhaust velocity. No generation ships or extrasolar probes are in operation. The ring gates that later connect to 1,373 extrasolar systems do not yet exist in 2350.
Value: 0.9
Min: 0.85
Max: 0.95
Confidence: CalculatedGuess
References:
Population: 35e9. Estimated per-person power: ~30,000 W (about 14x Earth 2023's 2,200 W/person). Fusion power is widespread via Epstein drives, but half of Earth's 30 billion live on Basic Assistance with modest energy footprints. Mars terraforming and Belt stations are energy-intensive.
Total power: 35e9 x 30,000 = 1.05e15 W. Kardashev: log10(1.05e15) / 10 - 0.6 = 0.90.
Min (10,000 W/person, conservative): 3.5e14 W, K = 0.85. Max (100,000 W/person, generous): 3.5e15 W, K = 0.95.
No megastructures, no stellar energy harvesting. Approaching but not reaching Type I.
Value: 15
Min: 10
Max: 25
Confidence: InformedGuess
References:
Counts major inhabited worlds, moons, and stations. Planets: Earth, Mars (2). Major moons: Luna, Ganymede, Europa, Callisto, Io, Titan, Enceladus (7). Major asteroid stations: Ceres, Eros, Vesta, Pallas, Hygiea, Tycho (6). Total ~15 named major settlements. Hundreds of smaller unnamed stations and mining outposts exist throughout the Belt.
Value: Tripartite: UN, MCR, OPA
Confidence: Canon
References:
No unified Sol System government. Three competing entities share the system. The United Nations governs Earth and Luna as a federal presidential republic led by the Secretary-General. The Martian Congressional Republic is a parliamentary republic with compulsory military service, led by the Prime Minister. The Outer Planets Alliance is a decentralized movement of Belt factions, part political organization, part resistance network, not formally recognized as a sovereign entity by Earth or Mars.
Value: 350
Min: 200
Max: 500
Confidence: CalculatedGuess
References:
Combined UNN + MCRN + OPA fleet. The UNN outnumbers the MCRN 5:1 in ships (canon, TV Season 2). The UNN operates Home Fleet, Jupiter Fleet, and Saturn Fleet with dreadnoughts, battleships, cruisers, destroyers, and corvettes. 16 Leonidas-class battleships docked at Lovell City (Luna) during the Free Navy Conflict. Munroe-class light destroyers make up the larger portion of UNN fleets.
The MCRN is smaller but fields more advanced ships. Exactly 8 Donnager-class battleships built during the Cold War. Morrigan-class patrol destroyers are mass-produced. Duarte later takes up to a third of the entire MCRN fleet to Laconia.
Estimated: MCRN ~60 ships, UNN ~300 at 5:1 ratio, OPA ~10 converted civilian vessels. Total ~350.
Value: 35e9
Min: 30e9
Max: 40e9
Confidence: Unknown
References:
Earth: ~30 billion (half on Basic Assistance). Luna: ~100 million to 1 billion. Mars: ~4 billion (books). Belt and outer moons: ~50-100 million across Ceres (6M), Eros (1.5M), Ganymede, Titan, and dozens of smaller stations. Total ~35 billion, dominated by Earth's population.
Value: 7
Confidence: InformedGuess
References:
TL 7 Fusion. The Epstein drive is a modified deuterium-helium-3 fusion drive with magnetic coil exhaust acceleration. Hardest technology: controlled fusion for propulsion and power generation. Railguns and PDCs are electromagnetic/kinetic weapons, not a higher tech tier. No nanotech (TL 8), no FTL (TL 9), no artificial gravity, no energy shields.
Value: Sol System
Confidence: Canon
References:
All of humanity is confined to the Sol System. Settlements span from Earth and Luna in the inner system through Mars, the asteroid belt (Ceres, Eros, Vesta, Pallas), to the Jovian moons (Ganymede, Europa, Callisto, Io), Saturnian moons (Titan, Enceladus), and the small science station on Titania (Uranus). The outermost major presence is around Saturn.
Value: 7
Confidence: InformedGuess
References:
Class 7 Interplanetary. Fusion-powered system colonization with habitats on planets, moons, and asteroids. 35 billion people across ~15 major settlements. No FTL, no interstellar ambitions at this snapshot. The Expanse's own scale rates humanity as Tier II (Interplanetary Civilization). High end of Class 7 due to mature multi-faction system presence, but no interstellar push keeps it below Class 8.
By the year 2350, the Sol System holds roughly thirty-five billion human souls. Earth groans under the weight of thirty billion, its cities stacked high while oceans swallow old coastlines. Billions live on Basic Assistance, fed and housed by the state but stripped of meaningful work. Luna is the political nerve center where the United Nations rules from New Hague.
Mars, home to four billion, runs a different experiment. Every citizen serves, every resource goes toward the great project: turning the red planet green. The Martian Congressional Republic Navy fields the most advanced warships in the system, Donnager-class battleships that outclass anything Earth can build, though Earth builds far more of them.
Out in the Belt, life is harder. Ceres Station, spun up for gravity, houses six million. Eros, Tycho, Pallas, Ganymede, Titan, each settlement clings to survival in the void. Belters grow tall and thin in low gravity, their bodies shaped by conditions that would cripple an Earther.
The Epstein drive ties it all together. Ships accelerate for days on end, crossing the vast distances between planets at punishing g-forces. Railguns, torpedoes, and point defense cannons arm the warships of the UNN and MCRN. There are no shields, no deflectors. A hull breach kills. A torpedo hit kills faster.
Tensions between Earth and Mars simmer toward open war. The Belt agitates for independence. And on Phoebe, something ancient waits to be found.